Numbered briefings and deep reads from each desk
The Nasdaq rose 1.05% to 26,702.86 as SpaceX's first profit and Meta's after-hours beat revived the AI trade; Europe rebounded, UK inflation hit 3.5%, and the 10-year yield rose to 5.15%.
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The Dow rose 1.02% to 52,495.88 and the S&P 500 gained 0.28% as health care hit a record and money rotated out of tech, while Seoul fell 3.73%, Europe slipped and oil whipsawed on U.S.-Iran proposal reports.
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Nasdaq rose 1.11% to 26,430.89 and the S&P 500 gained 0.41% in a narrow, four-sector rebound as the 10-year yield climbed to 5.15%, Europe fell about 1% on French unrest and a Barclays probe, and WTI settled at $103.66.
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Nasdaq fell 2.14% Friday and about 4.5% on the week as CoreWeave slid 12% on AI debt fears, while WTI settled above $100 at $101.41 and Brent at $109.86. Europe and Asia rose; the 10-year yield held at 5.097%.
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September PPI rose 1.3% in the month, yet the 10-year Treasury yield fell 10 basis points in its biggest drop in over a year as an AI credit scare — CoreWeave CDS near 1,200bp, KOSPI down 7.57% — drove a global rotation out of chips and into bonds, health care and the Dow (+1.08%).
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September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, above consensus, lifting October Fed hike odds to 37% as the Nasdaq fell 1.88% and AI stocks and bonds sold off; Europe rose on ASML.
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September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, above the 3.6% consensus, as gasoline jumped 9.1%. Core rose 2.6%. Yields climbed and October hike odds jumped — what it means for the Fed's Oct. 27–28 meeting.
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S&P 500 slipped 0.02% to 7,805.45 and the Dow fell 0.35% as a CXMT-driven memory-chip rout sank the KOSPI 5.46% and the Nikkei 1.82%, with markets waiting on Wednesday's September CPI.
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Dow rose 0.38% to 51,850.55 as rotation out of chips dragged the Nasdaq 0.44% lower in holiday-thin trade; Brent rose to $106.09 and the U.S. bond market was closed.
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Stocks rallied Friday as Trump took an Iran strike off the table, but the 10-year Treasury held near 24-year highs at 5.243% — the binding constraint on every asset class.
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